Last Team Goalscorer Betting Explained: How the Market Works

A typical example is Virgil Van Dijk in the box, being 1-0 down, and all Liverpool has to do is drop it on his head. Who else would you trust?

Essentially, you are choosing the person who will score last for your team. It would not matter if the other team scored afterwards.

What Is Last Team Goalscorer Betting?

It is only about the team's final goal, not the match's final goal; it doesn't matter what the opposing team does afterward. It is NOT a “Last Goalscorer” bet for the entire match; this only takes into consideration the goals scored by the team you choose. It gives you a better chance of winning while offering competitive odds.

Settlement is almost always based on regular playing time (including injury time). Extra time and penalty shootouts typically don't count unless stated.

How Last Team Goalscorer Betting Works

First, you select a team and a player, and you are basically saying which player will be the last to score for that specific team. For example, Manchester United vs Chelsea, you select Bruno Fernandes to be the last scorer for Manchester United, meaning if another Manchester United player scores after that, you will not win.

A “Last Manchester United Goalscorer” market for that fixture might look something like this:

Maguire would typically have a higher return because he is not an attacker, but we also know it's a possibility that he can score, especially in headers and corners. But, for example, if Maguire scores an own goal, and it counts for Liverpool, it doesn't count because you select Team and Player, and the goal has to count for the Team and the Player.

Example: Spain vs Cape Verde, World Cup 2026 – the “Last” column shows last team goalscorer odds for each player. Source: Sportingbet South Africa. Screenshot captured by Umed Swedutt on 15 June, 2026 - 11:48 UTC

How Bookmakers Calculate Last Team Goalscorer Odds

Bookmakers consider the XG, the players' minutes, the match state, and the form of the player. For example, at the start of the season, Casemiro would have had a higher price or better odds, but as the season progressed and he picked up form, the odds would have lowered because he found form.

Further to that would be the match state, and if Bruno is putting in crosses to the box and finding Casemiro, and he looks more likely to score, you would back him, and the odds would continue to drop.

What could also affect the price and odds would be the tactical setup of a game. If Bruno drops back into the midfield, the likelihood of him being as prolific drops, and his price increases. And the other side of that is if he starts in the number 10 position, that price goes higher.

Because so much of this depends on events that have not happened yet, last team goalscorer odds carry more uncertainty than markets settled before kickoff, and they keep moving for as long as the match does.

Drivers of Value in Last Team Goalscorer Markets

If stats are anything to go by, the value of this market is not always the Erling Haaland type of Strikers, its usually the big strong centre backs or a real super sub who can come in and make a difference when it matters.

You would also want to have the higher odds by taking a defender over a striker. And this becomes a common mistake when choosing this market because the strikers aren't always the last team's goalscorer.